Owen Smith, the absurdly self-described “unity candidate” for the Labour leadership, will be one of many Labour MPs voting in favour of the Trident nuclear weapons system today. Indeed, he has already gone further. Yesterday, he gave an explicit “yes” to the question of whether he would be willing to deploy nuclear weapons as Prime Minister.
While I can never agree that Trident is morally acceptable, at least some argue for it as a deterrent, rather than as something they would put to use. Even Neil Kinnock, after his about-turn to a pro-nuclear position in the late 1980s, refused to give a yes-or-no answer to the question of whether he would be prepared to press the button. But Owen Smith said yes when asked – in effect – if he was willing to commit mass murder.
The Tories may have hoped that the Trident vote would split Labour in two. They will no doubt be delighted that it seems instead to have split them into three.
Shadow Foreign Secretary Emily Thornberry and Shadow Defence Secretary Clive Lewis are calling for a deliberate abstention, while Jeremy Corbyn will vote against. His Deputy Leader Tom Watson, along with leadership candidates Owen Smith and Angela Eagle, look set to vote in favour. Many – perhaps most – other Labour MPs will sadly follow their example.
By holding the vote earlier than expected, the Tories have seized the chance to hit Labour when the party is so weak by forcing them to debate the very issue that most divides them. Given how much the Tories have been tearing themselves apart over Europe, they will gain some comfort by addressing an issue on which they are virtually all agreed.
Theresa May will be able to use her first Commons appearance as Prime Minister to boast about her support for “national security”, “defence” and other such euphemisms for military power. As often happens on such occasions, a good many Tories can be relied on to jeer at anti-Trident MPs with a similar level of debate to that employed by school bullies mocking children who don’t fight as much as they do.
Opinion polls suggest the British population is split roughly evenly on Trident renewal. You won’t be able to tell this from the House of Commons today, as Labour MPs stuck in the 1980s are determined to believe that anything other than gung-ho militarism will lose them elections.
Nuclear weapons are one of the worst manifestations of a militarist culture. Let’s be clear that we do have a militarist culture in Britain. Militarist myths are treated as common sense: it’s taken for granted that violence solves problems, that nation-states have a right to our loyalty and that unquestioning obedience is something to be admired.
People who make arguments in favour of Trident often undermine their own case by revealing the depths of their militaristic thinking. They talk about a “deterrent”, as if threats to security consist solely in governments or groups that can be scared, rather than underlying causes of conflict such as poverty, inequality and climate change. They speak of weapons protecting “us” and what “we” would do if other states maintain nuclear weapons.
Most of us have more in common with the people of other nationalities than we do with anyone who has command of an army, let alone a nuclear weapon. Yet we are supposed to believe that the government maintains weapons of mass destruction for our own protection. This is the same government that is itself attacking the British people, with heavy cuts to public services and the welfare state. People queuing at food banks, or shivering because they can’t afford the heating, are not going to be helped by nuclear missiles.
If maintaining nuclear weapons makes a country safer, this is logically an argument for every country in the world to have nuclear weapons. Supporters of Trident insist that they don’t mean this. When pressed, I have often found that they resort to using expressions such as “top-table nations” and saying the UK is one of these.
As soon as these phrases come out, it is clear that they are giving up the argument about security: Trident stops being about defence and becomes simply a matter of power and status. We are expected to put millions of lives at risk for the sake of appearing like a tough child in a playground. Militarism, in a very real sense, is about never growing up.
In Parliament today, we will hear people arguing that Trident exists to preserve peace. Like politicians around Europe in the years before World War One, they will keep repeating the Roman saying, “If you want peace, prepare for war”.
They were proved wrong in 1914, as they have been proved wrong so many times before and since. History shows time and again that if you prepare for war, you will get what you have prepared for.
Symon Hill 
History shows time and again that if you prepare for war, you will get what you have prepared for
I think what history actually shows is that you will always get war; the only choice you can make is whether you are prepared or unprepared for it.
(In the 1930s, we chose ‘unprepared’, and it almost led to our annihilation or, worse, our having to make peace with Hitler; let’s never make that mistake again).
But we *don’t* always get war. Most conflicts are resolved without war. Assuming we will always get war makes us less likely to look for alternatives.
British military spending rose during the 1930s. At the same time, the UK government allowed British arms companies to sell weapons to fascist regimes (notably Mussonlini’s). British peace groups lobbied against this but it wasn’t stopped. As a result, the fascist regimes were better armed and better able to make war.
But we *don’t* always get war. Most conflicts are resolved without war
Yes, most are. But it only takes one to not be resolved peacefully, and you have war.
Sooner or later, there is always war; and as long as we live in a fallen world, there always will be war, sooner or later.
British military spending rose during the 1930s.
Not until 1935, by which time it was almost too late.
At the same time, the UK government allowed British arms companies to sell weapons to fascist regimes (notably Mussonlini’s). British peace groups lobbied against this but it wasn’t stopped. As a result, the fascist regimes were better armed and better able to make war.
Do you think that, if those arms hadn’t been sold, the second world war wouldn’t have happened?
(Or, indeed, that if the second world war as it was fought had been averted, that there wouldn’t have been another conflict, for example with the Soviet Union, in the same mid-twentieth-century timescale?)
There will always be war, just as however many illnesses I resolve by my immune system fighting them off, eventually I will still end up facing the ultimate judge; so we must be prepared.